Description

This analysis provides a forecast of DOT prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-06-29 0.001182 0.001242 0.001303 0.001371 0.001443 0.001518 0.001602
2025-07-06 0.001073 0.001158 0.001248 0.001351 0.001465 0.001589 0.001733
2025-07-13 0.000983 0.001082 0.001190 0.001317 0.001463 0.001626 0.001822
2025-07-20 0.000934 0.001046 0.001171 0.001321 0.001498 0.001701 0.001953
2025-07-27 0.000897 0.001019 0.001158 0.001329 0.001535 0.001777 0.002087
2025-08-03 0.000870 0.001002 0.001154 0.001344 0.001579 0.001861 0.002232
2025-08-10 0.000838 0.000975 0.001137 0.001342 0.001600 0.001917 0.002343
2025-08-17 0.000795 0.000934 0.001100 0.001313 0.001585 0.001925 0.002392
2025-08-24 0.000763 0.000904 0.001074 0.001295 0.001583 0.001948 0.002458
2025-08-31 0.000742 0.000886 0.001063 0.001296 0.001603 0.001999 0.002565
2025-09-07 0.000715 0.000861 0.001041 0.001281 0.001602 0.002022 0.002633
2025-09-14 0.000693 0.000840 0.001023 0.001271 0.001604 0.002050 0.002707
2025-09-21 0.000669 0.000817 0.001003 0.001258 0.001608 0.002081 0.002794
2025-09-28 0.000645 0.000794 0.000982 0.001244 0.001607 0.002107 0.002875
2025-10-05 0.000616 0.000764 0.000952 0.001215 0.001585 0.002102 0.002909
2025-10-12 0.000603 0.000752 0.000945 0.001219 0.001609 0.002162 0.003044
2025-10-19 0.000592 0.000744 0.000942 0.001227 0.001637 0.002230 0.003196
2025-10-26 0.000583 0.000739 0.000943 0.001240 0.001675 0.002314 0.003376
2025-11-02 0.000570 0.000726 0.000934 0.001238 0.001690 0.002363 0.003504
2025-11-09 0.000549 0.000703 0.000908 0.001212 0.001667 0.002352 0.003531
2025-11-16 0.000533 0.000685 0.000890 0.001196 0.001659 0.002364 0.003597
2025-11-23 0.000523 0.000676 0.000884 0.001197 0.001675 0.002415 0.003732
2025-11-30 0.000509 0.000661 0.000869 0.001184 0.001670 0.002431 0.003807